[ { "event": "combat events", "number": 3 }, { "event": "terrorism events", "number": 1 }, { "event": "droughts", "number": 6 }, { "event": "wildfires", "number": 96 }, { "event": "states with high hunger", "number": 39 }, { "event": "cyclones", "number": 6 }, { "event": "earthquakes", "number": 11 }, { "event": "storms", "number": 8 }, { "event": "floods", "number": 168 }, { "event": "polluted cities", "number": 3 }, { "event": "extreme temperature events", "number": 7 } ]
Arbite value
The Arbite value is a dynamic percentage that reflects the current level of global risk by analyzing data from the past 30 days.
67.9
Number of current events in the world
About the data
We base our analysis on a variety of sources, such as climate reports, geopolitical assessments, economic trends and measures of social unrest.
In order to integrate these influences into a collective state of global stability at one point in time, we evaluate each influence, and produce a cumulative percentage. Each of these influences makes up the landscape of global stability, and signal tipping points. Please check the About page to see how we investigate these influences, and why it's important.
The project is always a work in progress and improvement. The data should be taken as related to specific analyses and may not consider other aspects in the evaluation, unbalancing on the quantitative aspect of the data set. You can always contact us to talk about how you would improve this!
- Where did the data come from?
The data come from various sources. These are analyzed and organized so that they can be used by Arbite's engine to be able to propose an evaluation compatible with the 30-day range. Below are the various sources that are used to confirm our processing and confirm data that are as reliable as possible.
- How are the data processed?
It starts initially with a check of the sources and data available by understanding whether individual events are useful for classification. The data are collected and then divided by type. Once the classification is completed, the data are normalized and weighted using dedicated formulas obtaining, in the end, the observable percentage value.
- Is it possible to have access to the formulas?
The formulas are constantly evolving. Providing this information is not part of our current policy given the continuing evolution of the methodology. However, you can contact us to request a status of the development and, after an evaluation of the request, we may provide the requested information.
- Is it possible to join this initiative?
We are currently evaluating new people interested in Arbite. Please remember that this is a nonprofit project where participation is voluntary, and therefore, should you be chosen to collaborate on the project, you would not be required to be a constant participant.
